Research / Field paper

The Market Among Friends

How regulatory exclusion creates informal nicotine supply chains. An exploratory study of 18 adult consumers in Montgomery County, PA: 16 of 18 obtained excluded products through friends. Prohibition may change the supplier without ending the demand.
CGHAAugust 2026
The Market Among Friends

Abstract

This exploratory field study examines a part of the nicotine market that conventional retail audits rarely see: adult consumers who obtain preferred products through friends, travelers, off-menu retailers, and open-air sellers when those products are unavailable through lawful local channels.

The 18 participants, aged 22 to 76, were mostly former regular smokers. All purchased at least one nicotine product that was not lawful for sale in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania; two-thirds also bought lawful products. Sixteen relied primarily on a friend-based supply route. Their purchases were typically regular, brand-specific, and shaped by trust rather than anonymity. The findings suggest that product exclusion does not necessarily eliminate demand. It can move ordinary transactions from licensed stores into private relationships, where receipts, returns, age verification, batch traceability, and formal accountability are absent.

CENTRAL FINDING When a preferred nicotine product is excluded from the authorized market, prohibition may change the supplier without ending the demand.

Introduction

Nicotine-control research is strongest where markets are easiest to observe: licensed retailers, online stores, national surveys, enforcement seizures, and youth-access channels. It is weaker where transactions are socially embedded and deliberately quiet. A friend brings pouches home from Sweden. A coworker adds a favored vape to an overseas order. A trusted supplier appears once a month at someone’s house. A retailer keeps a product off-menu for regular customers. These are markets, but they do not always look like markets.

The legal context is unusually dynamic. Authorization is product-specific, and the lawful status of a brand name cannot be inferred from its familiarity. The boundary between familiar, available, authorized, and prohibited is therefore neither intuitive nor stable.

Methods

The analysis uses a corrected participant-level workbook supplied by CGHA. It contains 18 adult cases and records age, sex, smoking history, current cigarette use, principal unauthorized product, lawful-product purchasing, primary supply route, purchase frequency, payment method, brand loyalty, attempts to use lawful substitutes, awareness of legal status, and access to receipts or formal returns.

This is an exploratory case series, not a prevalence survey. Recruitment was purposive and locally embedded. The study cannot estimate how common these behaviors are. Its value is different: it identifies mechanisms, transaction types, and consumer rationales that larger instruments can test.

An experienced adult sample

Participants ranged from 22 to 76 years old; the mean age was 48.8 and the median 48.5. Eleven were men and seven were women. Seventeen described themselves as former regular smokers and one as a former light or intermittent smoker. Median prior cigarette consumption was 12 per day, and median smoking duration was 12 years. Fourteen reported no current cigarette use. This was not predominantly a group of nicotine-naive experimenters.

Twelve of the 18 participants also purchased lawful nicotine products. Instead of total separation from regulated commerce, they moved between two systems: licensed retail for products that met some needs, and informal supply for products they preferred but could not lawfully obtain. The market is therefore better described as hybrid than underground.

The market among friends

Figure 1. Primary supply route — The first four categories are friend-based and account for 16 of 18 participants
Reliable friend supplier8
Casual order through a friend4
Friend who travels frequently3
Online-to-local friend route1
Off-menu retailer1
Open-air multiproduct seller1

Source: CGHA exploratory field study, n=18.

These routes are neither purely casual nor conventionally organized. Nine participants bought monthly, four every one to two months, and five as needed. Payment was split among cash, electronic transfers, advance payment, and payment on collection. The repeated transaction can be predictable without a storefront, payroll, or formal hierarchy. Reliability emerges from routine and reputation.

COMPOSITE CASE “Alex” wants a particular JUUL pod, Elf Bar flavor, or NOAT pouch. A friend already knows the preference, combines the purchase with travel or a larger order, and delivers it at a home or familiar meeting place. The legal restriction is experienced as a sourcing problem, not a reason to abandon the product.

Preference, loyalty and failed substitution

Fourteen participants were coded as highly loyal to their preferred product and four as moderately loyal. Thirteen had tried a lawful substitute. This matters because the behavior cannot be explained only by ignorance of alternatives: for most, a substitute had been available and rejected. The present dataset cannot rank the relevant attributes, but it shows that interchangeability should be tested rather than assumed.

No receipts, no returns

All 18 participants lacked a receipt and a formal return route for the unauthorized product. This is more than a colorful detail. A receipt connects a product to a seller, date, price, and sometimes a batch. A formal return policy creates leverage when a device fails, a pouch appears damaged, or a product seems counterfeit. In the informal market, licensing is replaced by trust, warranties by reputation, and quality complaints by the willingness of a friend to make things right.

That private governance can work well enough to sustain repeat transactions, especially in dense social networks. But it is uneven and difficult to audit. A reliable friend cannot substitute fully for ingredient standards, manufacturing controls, age verification, product registration, adverse-event reporting, or recall capacity.

Prohibition can remove both the disfavored product and the consumer protections attached to lawful sale, while leaving the demand intact.

Why “more information” is an incomplete response

A common policy answer is that consumers need better information. Accurate information is important, and 13 participants were aware or assumed that their preferred product was unlawful. Five were uncertain. But information alone is unlikely to explain or dissolve a market built around experienced adult preferences.

The information model treats noncompliance as a knowledge deficit. The field data suggest a different sequence: the consumer knows the product, values specific attributes, understands or suspects the legal barrier, and solves the access problem through a trusted relationship. A better intervention question is therefore not only “What do consumers know?” but “What tradeoff are they making, and what feature of the lawful market fails to meet it?”